Ever since I learn the e book Benghazi: Know Thy Enemy: A Chilly Case Investigation, I’ve been listening to its creator, former CIA analyst Sarah Adams.
Final week I listened to her being interviewed on the Shawn Ryan podcast. I’d urge you to look at/hearken to the entire episode, however essentially the most related half for this dialogue occurs from 1:10-1:30.
SRS #149 Sarah Adams – Is the Pentagon Ignoring the Most Harmful Risk of All?
Sarah is a former CIA intelligence analyst who now analyzes open supply intelligence networks to foretell terrorist assaults. Within the episode, she discusses the intelligence she obtained detailing the truth that 1000-1500 Islamist terrorists are both within the USA or en route right here to conduct a wave of terrorist assaults.
Take heed to her interview first. Then learn my commentary on the data she shares.
The mannequin for the upcoming assaults within the USA would be the 2008 Mumbai terrorist assaults. Few individuals keep in mind this occasion when 5 groups of two terrorists every wreaked havoc on the Indian metropolis over the course of a pair days.
I’ve analyzed this assault in depth and sometimes use it as a case examine in a few of my terrorism/lively killer response courses. What was distinctive about this assault is that the terrorists got a plan by their handlers, however they have been allowed to regulate the plan on the fly in an effort to kill extra individuals. They used each bombs and weapons within the assault.
Mumbai terrorist armed with a rifle, pistol, and bag stuffed with bombs.
A RAND CORPORATION report titled The Classes of Mumbai supplied the terrorist tools listing. Quoted from the report:
“The terrorists got here closely armed. Every carried an AK-56 automated assault rifle (a Chinese language model of the Russian AK-47) with seven magazines of ammunition (30 rounds every). The terrorists additionally used Heckler & Koch MP5 machine weapons however might have taken these from lifeless or wounded Indian safety personnel. The attackers have been armed with 9-mm pistols with two clips of ammunition, and so they carried hand grenades (8 to 10 grenades every, in keeping with one report). In addition they had improvised explosive gadgets (IEDs). Every machine reportedly contained the excessive explosive RDX, ball bearings to create shrapnel, a digital timer, and a 9-volt battery.
5 gadgets have been situated. Two have been left behind in taxis utilized by the attackers, and three others have been left at different areas alongside their path to detonate later, creating larger confusion. The 2 gadgets left within the taxis exploded. The others failed or have been rendered protected by Indian bomb squads.”
I urge you all to study extra about this occasion. I believe the perfect useful resource is the e book
You can too watch Terror in Mumbai. The video reveals a minute by minute development of the occasion together with audio (with translation) of precisely what the terrorist have been saying and the recommendation they got by their handlers. If you wish to get into the thoughts of an lively killer, it is a nice reference.
Suicide bombs for novelty. The one difficulty I’ve with Sarah’s info is that she acknowledged there has by no means been a suicide bombing assault within the USA. That’s incorrect.
In 2005, a person tried to enter a College of Oklahoma soccer stadium with a suicide bomb vest whereas a recreation was happening. He was denied entry as he didn’t have a ticket and he both self detonated or his vest spontaneously blew up as he sat on a bench exterior the stadium.
In one of many terrorist bombing courses I took, I spoke to an FBI agent and bomb tech who investigated this incident. It was positively a terrorist bombing try but few individuals have ever heard of it. Pre-dating that assault, we additionally noticed a suicide bomb collar affixed round a person’s neck in an effort to facilitate a financial institution theft.
Regardless of each of those earlier assaults, I nonetheless agree with Ms. Adams about the truth that the subsequent wave of assaults is prone to embody bombs, even when only for the novelty.
The truth that a number of IEDs have been discovered within the New Orleans automobile run down assault is in step with this principle. This text claims a witness noticed three males and a feminine loading the automotive up with bombs. Yesterday’s Tesla cyber truck explosion exterior the Trump resort additionally had an explosive element.
Picture of the unexploded ordnance (principally fireworks and gasoline) at the back of the cyber truck.
After the 2017 London automobile run down assault, I warned you all about terrorists combining automobile assaults with bombs. I’m actually stunned it took this lengthy to see it really occur. Leaving an IED within the automotive used for a run-down assault is a superb tactic. Set it to detonate 10-Quarter-hour after the assault ends and also you’ll wipe out all the primary responders coming to the scene to assist. It’s the last word “secondary machine.”
I educate just a few terrorist bombing courses yearly. Only a few individuals join them. I believe quite a lot of people are going to remorse not studying about these things contemplating what I believe is coming in our nation. If you happen to can’t make it to my class, at the very least learn my article Armed Citizen Response to Terrorist Bombers.
Fedayeen and terrorists combating to the death- Ms. Adams mentions the “combat to the demise” angle cultivated within the Fedayeen who make up a number of the terrorists who’ve been educated to conduct the assaults on American soil.
It is a essential piece of data for citizen defenders such as you and I. The widespread road legal is aware of that for those who draw a firearm to defend your self you most likely gained’t shoot him if he breaks off the assault and flees. That’s one of many causes we seldom see residents being “undergunned” when carrying a snub-nose revolver or small auto pistol throughout a road assault .
These guys are completely different. If you happen to intervene in one in all these assaults, the terrorists are usually not going to interrupt contact. They’ll combat till both you or they’re lifeless.
I’ve written quite a few articles about how I really feel comfy carrying a small snub revolver in my low crime neighborhood. No extra. You will not be coping with the lone crackhead robber anymore. If you need to combat in opposition to a number of motivated terrorists armed with explosives and lengthy weapons, your .38 snub is the flawed instrument for the job.
I’d counsel that from this level ahead, you shouldn’t depart the home and not using a medium to full-sized auto pistol and at the very least one spare journal. Observe your lengthy vary pistol taking pictures as nicely.
Automobile run down attacks- I don’t know for certain, but it surely wouldn’t shock me that the automobile run down terrorist assault in New Orleans this weekend is the beginning of the wave of terrorism described by Ms. Adams. I believe automobile assaults are going to be a typical tactic utilized by these terrorists.
Why would they use automobiles as a substitute of weapons and bombs? It’s fairly easy. Huge automobiles trigger large numbers of casualties. They’re simpler to amass than weapons and bombs. Lastly, the ISIS propaganda publication Rumiyah has particularly referred to as for Muslim terrorists to make use of autos and knives as weapons in opposition to the Western world.
“The most recent difficulty of Rumiyah, a brand new journal from the fear group geared toward English-language audio system, included an article titled “Simply Terror Techniques” that outlined perfect autos to make use of in terror assaults in addition to perfect targets.
“Although being an important a part of fashionable life, only a few really comprehend the lethal and damaging functionality of the motorcar and its capability of reaping giant numbers of casualties if utilized in a premeditated method,” the article mentioned.
The article additionally cited the assault in Good, France, in July, through which a supposed ISIS supporter killed 86 individuals by plowing right into a crowd with a truck on Bastille Day.
“Autos are like knives, as they’re extraordinarily simple to amass,” the article mentioned.”
ISIS journal advocating automobile assaults.
As well as, most police companies are woefully unprepared to guard their residents from a automobile run-down assault.
After I was working as a cop through the top of terrorist automobile assaults, I used to be fearful that we might have a automobile assault at my metropolis’s most susceptible occasion, our annual Fourth of July fireworks celebration. About 70,000 individuals attended the fireworks show yearly. The park the place they watched the overhead fireworks was very near a lot of roads. Town hadn’t traditionally protected our residents nicely from a possible automobile assault.
I despatched the bosses a crowd-sourced proposal that utilized some the world’s high counter-terrorism brokers to offer recommendation about how one can cease terrorist automobile assaults in our metropolis. The bosses by no means even acknowledged receiving my proposal, not to mention did something to implement the adjustments I advised. The truth that our Independence Day celebrations weren’t chosen for an assault was solely a matter of luck as a substitute of high quality contingency planning. Many police directors care completely nothing about your security. Counting on their “safety” is a mistake with probably deadly penalties.
For what it’s value, I turned the proposal I made to my former police division into an article for my web site. In it, I cite the recommendation of three of my pals who’re/have been extraordinarily excessive stage counter terrorism specialists for the CIA, DIA, and State Division. If you’re one of many uncommon police directors who care extra about your residents’ security than your personal wage, check out the article and the recommendation a few of my smartest pals gave me.
For more information on automobile terrorist assaults take a look at the 2 articles linked beneath.
Automobile Run Down Assaults
Terrorist Automobile Assault Data Compendium
My prediction
I’m inclined to consider Sarah Adams’ assertion that we are going to quickly see a wave of terrorist assaults on US soil. I believe they are going to primarily encompass lively shooters who’re additionally armed with bombs (ala Mumbai), automobile run down assaults, and low sophistication bombings of delicate targets.
I supplied you with hyperlinks to my finest articles about coping with automobile assaults and explosives within the article above. You may additionally learn my article on finest practices for coping with lively shooters and my lively killer recommendation compendium as nicely.
Now let’s placed on our pondering caps on and attempt to predict some extra seemingly targets.
We all know that the terrorists are planning to hit any goal symbolic of America. In addition they desire to focus on extraordinarily susceptible sufferer populations. They plan to make the most of automobile run down assaults mixed with explosives to maximise damages. Let your brains run wild and take into consideration attainable assault situations to struggle recreation.
Right here’s my utterly baseless guess at a attainable terrorist assault situation.
The terrorists will goal an elementary faculty. The victims there are extraordinarily susceptible and there isn’t prone to be any armed safety on scene to guard them. The assault will encompass at the very least two guys in a big truck. There will probably be bombs within the truck and the terrorists may even have firearms.
The terrorists will strike on the faculty bus pickup/drop off level when children are exterior getting into or departing the college for the day. They’ll drive the truck across the faculty buses and immediately into the areas the place college students are ready for his or her buses. They’ll run over as many individuals as they will till the truck is disabled.
When the automobile ceases operating, the terrorists will get out and start taking pictures. They could additionally take hostages. When cops and EMS present up, the bomb within the disabled truck will detonate, killing the preliminary wave of first responders. That easy plan could be extraordinarily ugly and onerous to cease.
I’ve spoken to the superintendent of the college system with whom I seek the advice of to deal with these issues. I requested him to inform his bus monitoring employees to pay shut consideration to suspicious individuals within the subsequent few weeks. To drag off an assault like this one, the terrorists might want to conduct some pre-operation surveillance. That’s a possibility to intervene.
The surveillance can also happen through drone. Faculty employees must be alert for drones hovering overhead at both the start or the top of the college day. I advised that the superintendent ask his employees to determine how a automobile pushed by a terrorist may go across the parked faculty buses and mow down a lot of little our bodies as the youngsters are loading/unloading. Finally, no matter paths the college employees is ready to be aware must be blocked in such a method that nobody may entry the susceptible college students with a dashing automobile.
The assaults are coming. Put together your self and your loved ones. Do your finest to keep away from symbolic targets and enormous crowds of individuals. Learn up about how one can forestall a automobile run down assault. Carry a “actual” gun everytime you depart the home. Most of all, be a step forward of the terrorists so that you simply and also you family members have sufficient forewarning that they could be capable of escape on the earliest attainable choice.
Issues are going to get spicy.
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